MTT Poker Player

I am a Professional Poker Player and Coach from England.

Friday, 30 December 2011

Making Tough Laydowns

In SNGs preserving a buy in by making a tough decision at the right time can make a big difference to your long term ROI. Here is an example of a tough decision during the early stages of a SNG.

***** Hand History for Game 72971169538 ***** (Poker Stars)
Tourney Hand NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, December 29, 03:17:16 ET 2011
Table 491643733 1 (Real Money)
Seat 5 is the button
Seat 1: kermit64 ( $2292.00 USD )
Seat 2: pasteurisi ( $1415.00 USD )
Seat 4: HERO ( $1500.00 USD )
Seat 5: yukon200 ( $2010.00 USD )
Seat 6: Nils>Schrank ( $1248.00 USD )
Seat 7: Stevedr ( $1425.00 USD )
Seat 8: Robit1981 ( $2040.00 USD )
Seat 9: nickriz ( $1570.00 USD )
Nils>Schrank posts small blind [$15.00 USD].
Stevedr posts big blind [$30.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ Qd Qh ]
Robit1981 raises [$90.00 USD]
nickriz folds
kermit64 folds
pasteurisi folds
HERO raises [$300.00 USD]
yukon200 folds
Nils>Schrank folds
Stevedr folds
Robit1981 raises [$690.00 USD]
HERO folds
Robit1981 wins $480.00 USD
Robit1981 wins $645.00 USD from main pot

The villain in this hand is a tight reg playing 6/4 over a large sample 7-9 handed. Right lets break the hand down. Villains UTG range here is most probably TT+, AQs+ and i am pretty sure he knows im not 3betting light here and probably puts me on AK/QQ+ yet he 4 bets and on the small side to. His range for this 4bet is very tight and prob looks like AK/QQ+ which means i have 40% equity vs his range. Since he covers me the effective stacks are 1500 and his raise commits me and as such may as well be a shove as i cant call here ever. I would be investing 1200 to win 90+300+45+1200 or 1635, which works out as 1635/1200= 1.3625/1 or 42.33% equity needed to call. As you can see this is a fold even in a cash game, once you add in the factor the you need 60+% equity to go bust early in SNGs this comes out as a clear fold, so next time you think well i have a big hand its just a cooler if he has a bigger hand, think through his range and try to make the most profitable decision.

Thanks for reading

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